Lead Data Analyst: Katerina Tertytchnaya
In recent years, a number of unpopular rulers have been toppled from power when ordinary citizens took to the streets to demand political change. Many authoritarian regimes in post-Soviet states and elsewhere however have avoided the fate of leaders swept from power in the wake of mass uprisings. Behind the façade of stability however, popular protest is a regular occurrence in many non-democratic states. To understand under what conditions people mobilize to demand change, we need to carefully study the dynamics of popular protest going beyond the Colour-Revolution-type scenarios. As part of this objective, longitudinal data on protest events across Russia have been assembled covering nearly ten years (2007-2016); these data are constantly updated. Specifically, we are gathering data on protest across the regions of the Russian Federation that includes entries on protest participation; issues (political, socio-economic, and civic); targets; and repertoires. Recently, we have also started gathering data on protests in Ukraine, notably in the Crimean region that Russia annexed in 2014. Following Russia’s intervention in Ukraine, politics in the two countries have become to a significant extent intertwined. Russia’s involvement in Ukraine is as much instrumental in shaping Ukrainian citizens’ mobilization, their political and foreign policy orientations, as the events in Ukraine are instrumental in shaping the dynamics of popular nationalism in Russia, of protest, and of support for President Vladimir Putin. An analysis of popular mobilisation in the two countries, and how it is shaped by the Russia-Ukraine conflict, therefore becomes of paramount importance for understanding and predicting the politics of the two states.
Latest posts on popular protest
- Tomila Lankina blogpost Managing Regional Elections in Russia Centre for East European and International Studies (ZOiS) Spotlight 23 (20 Sep 2017)
- LSS model for protest framing analysis is available now
- Whom do Russian protesters blame (and why it matters)?
- Ukraine crisis timeline and news coverage of Euromaidan protests
- Description of Protest Data
Recent Publications and Working Papers
- Lankina, Tomila V. and Skovoroda, Rodion (2017) “Regional Protest and Electoral Fraud: Evidence from Analysis of New Data on Russian Protest.” East European Politics.” 33 (2): 253-274.
- Tertytchnaya, Katerina, and Tomila Lankina. 2016. “Sub-national Electoral Protests and Political Attitudes under Electoral Authoritarianism.” Working Paper.
- Lankina, Tomila. 2015. “The Dynamics of Regional and National Contentious Politics in Russia: Evidence from a New Dataset.” Problems of Post-Communism 62 (1): 26-44.
- Lankina, Tomila, and Alisa Voznaya. 2015. “New Data on Protest Trends in Russia’s Regions.” Europe-Asia Studies 67 (2): 327-342.
- Lankina, Tomila. 2014. “Daring to Protest: When, Why and How Russia’s Citizens Engage in Street Protest,” PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo (25 August).